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| In this
issue: |
Issue
47, January 2005 |
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| Hot Topics |
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Life Cycle Cost
Analysis
A life cycle cost analysis involves the analysis of
the costs of a system or a component over its entire life span. Typical
costs for a system may include acquisition costs (or design and development costs),
operating costs (cost of failures, cost of repairs, cost for spares,
downtime costs and loss of production) and disposal costs.
A complete life cycle cost (LCC) analysis may also include other costs,
as well as other accounting/financial elements (such as discount rates,
interest rates, depreciation, present value of money, etc.). For the purpose
of this article, it is sufficient to say that if you have all of the
required cost values (inputs), then a complete LCC analysis can be performed
easily in a spreadsheet, since it really involves summations of costs and
perhaps some computations involving interest rates. With respect to the cost
inputs for such an analysis, the costs involved are either deterministic
(such as acquisition costs, disposal costs, etc.) or probabilistic (such as
cost of failures, repairs, spares, downtime, etc.). Most of the
probabilistic costs are directly related to the reliability and
maintainability characteristics of the system. Estimating the
associated probabilistic costs is the challenging aspect of LCC analysis.
BlockSim can be used to obtain
such costs.
To
read more, see
http://www.weibull.com/hotwire/issue47/hottopics47.htm
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| Reliability Basics |
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Characteristics of
the Lognormal Distribution
The lognormal distribution is commonly used to model
the lives of units whose failure modes are of a fatigue-stress nature. Since
this includes most, if not all, mechanical systems, the lognormal
distribution can have widespread application. Consequently, the lognormal
distribution is a good companion to the Weibull distribution when attempting
to model these types of units. This article explains the characteristics of
the lognormal distribution and its parameters.
To read more, see
http://www.weibull.com/hotwire/issue47/relbasics47.htm
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| Tool Tips |
-
While
viewing the System Operation plot in RGA, how can the displayed
systems be organized?
-
What are the dates and locations for
ReliaSoft's 2005 public reliability training seminars?
-
Is there a listing of reliability-related
Web sites?
To read more, see
http://www.weibull.com/hotwire/issue47/tooltips47.htm
 |
|
Latest
Software Updates |
|
New service
releases are now available for BlockSim
6 (SR 6.2.10) and Xfmea (SR
2.0.8). To determine the compile revision of the
application on your computer, select About from the Help menu.
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Hot News |
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RAMS 2005
– ReliaSoft’s team of expert
engineers will be on hand to teach tutorials, present papers and moderate
sessions during this very important annual event. Here is the line-up
slated for this year:
| R&M Successes & Failures |
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moderated by Pantelis Vassiliou, CEO
(Session 6B) |
| Reliability Predictions
Based on Customer Usage Stress |
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presented by Adamantios Mettas (Session
5A4) |
| Studies and Methods for
Improving the Effectiveness of Reliability Tasks |
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presented by Dr. Larry H. Crow (Session
5A3) |
| Modeling and Analysis of
Repairable Systems with General Repair |
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presented by Adamantios Mettas and Dr.
Wenbiao Zhao (Session 7B3) |
| Predicting Reliability
using Multivariate Degradation Data |
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presented by Dr. Di Xu and Dr. Wenbiao
Zhao (Session 9D4) |
| Understanding Accelerated
Life Test Analysis |
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presented by Pantelis Vassiliou and
Adamantios Mettas (Tutorial 11C) |
| Innovation in Fault Trees
and FMEA |
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moderated by Lisa Hacker (Session 12B) |
|
Reliability Growth Testing and Data Analysis |
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presented by Dr.
Larry H. Crow (Tutorial 13C) |
The 51st Annual Reliability and
Maintainability Symposium (RAMS) will be held January
24-27, 2005 at the Hilton Alexandria Mark Center in Alexandria,
Virginia. Be sure to come by our booth to visit and review our suite
of cutting edge analysis tools, including QTMS (FRACAS) and the most
advanced Reliability Growth
software package available today. See you there! For detailed
information on the symposium, please visit
http://www.rams.org. |
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International
Applied Reliability Symposium – Register now to attend
the International Applied
Reliability Symposium, coming to San Diego, CA May 18–20, 2005. Each year,
this event focuses on sharing applications, success stories and
lessons learned in reliability and maintainability engineering. Past
and present day information on this specialized event, including the
2005 program matrix, can be
obtained at http://www.ARSymposium.org/. |
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ReliaSoft’s
New Agreement with S.P.A.C. in Turkey - ReliaSoft is
pleased to announce a new international sales/support agreement with
S.P.A.C. Consulting. S.P.A.C.
is a Turkey-based company that offers consultancy support and
software sales in many areas of engineering. They will also be
hosting ReliaSoft’s MSMT training seminar scheduled for Feb. 28th,
2005! For more information please visit:
http://www.ReliaSoft.com/seminars/turkey_venue.htm. |
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Lambda
Predict Software –
We have recently posted a set of examples, with screenshots, to
provide a quick overview of our much anticipated standards based
reliability prediction software,
Lambda Predict. Simply visit the following link to peek at
this new future release:
http://Predict.ReliaSoft.com/examples/index.htm. The Lambda
Predict package will include MIL-HDBK-217, Bellcore (Telcordia), RDF
2000 and China 299B standards for the analysis of electronics and
related components, plus the NSWC-98/LE1 standard for mechanical
components. It will also ship with an extensive collection of
pre-defined component libraries. |
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Chinese MSMT Training –
ReliaSoft China will be holding a
“localized” MSMT training seminar in Shenzhen, China this coming
March, 2005. For complete details in Chinese, please visit:
http://www.ReliaSoft.cn/seminars/MSMT_Intro2005.htm |
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New Locations for International Reliability Training -
ReliaSoft continues to address the international demand for
reliability training. Locations recently added include Poland,
Australia, Turkey and the UK! For a complete list of seminars planned
this year, please visit:
http://www.ReliaSoft.com/seminars/dates.htm |
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Public
Training Event Calendar
|
February 2005 |
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February 28 - March 4, 2005:
MSMT Foundations in
Tucson, Arizona |
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February 28 - March 4, 2005:
MSMT Foundations in
Istanbul, Turkey |
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March 2005 |
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March
7 - 8, 2005
Failure Modes, Effects and Criticality Analysis and
Xfmea in
Melbourne, Australia |
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March 14 - 18, 2005:
MSMT Foundations in Warsaw, Poland |
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April 2005 |
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April 4 - 6, 2005:
Advanced System
Reliability, Maintainability and Availability Analysis
in
Tucson, Arizona |
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April 7 - 8, 2005:
Failure
Modes, Effects and Criticality Analysis and Xfmea in
Tucson, Arizona |
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April 18 - 20, 2005:
Advanced System Reliability, Maintainability and
Availability Analysis in
Singapore |
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April 25 - 29, 2005:
MSMT Foundations in
Tucson, Arizona |
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April 27 - 29, 2005
QALT Boot Camp in
Singapore |
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May 2005 |
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May 2 - 6, 2005:
MSMT Foundations in
Melbourne,
Australia |
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May 18 - 20, 2005:
2005 International Applied Reliability Symposium in
San Diego, California |
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From the Edge |
In addition to the
monthly Reliability HotWire, ReliaSoft publishes
Reliability Edge,
a printed journal that includes articles and information related to the
field of reliability engineering. An article of interest in the current
edition:
- Financial Applications for Weibull
Analysis - Reliability engineering may be
described as the use of applied statistics for engineering evaluation
purposes. Naturally, the statistical techniques incorporated in
reliability engineering can be used for many other purposes as well. One
field that employs many of the same statistical techniques is that of
financial analysis. In this article, we will look at one of the ways
Weibull analysis (i.e. statistical analysis with the Weibull
distribution) can be used in a financial context by examining its
utility in conducting intangible asset valuation. Potential applications
for intangible asset valuation include credit card default rates, season
ticket renewal rates for sports and entertainment venues, stock
brokerage accounts and life insurance. This article uses the example of
a newspaper's subscription accounts to explore the methods and results
for this type of analysis. To view the entire article see:
http://www.ReliaSoft.com/newsletter/v5i1/financial.htm.
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| Contribute to HotWire |
Contributions Welcomed
As always, your
feedback and contributions are appreciated. ReliaSoft is able to provide the most
user-friendly reliability software packages and support because we
listen to our customers. This applies to our newsletters and
publications as well. We welcome any suggestions or contributions you may
have for Reliability HotWire.
If you have a topic or
article that you think would be useful to the readers of Reliability
HotWire, feel free to contact us. We can be reached by
e-mail at HotWire@ReliaSoft.com,
or by standard mail at 1450 S. Eastside Loop, Tucson, AZ 85710-6703,
USA.
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Copyright © 2005 ReliaSoft
Corporation, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
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