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Crow-AMSAA (NHPP) Model

General Examples Using the Crow-AMSAA Model

Time-to-Failure Data

Grouped Data for the Crow-AMSAA Model

For analyzing grouped data, we follow the same logic described in the Duane model. If Eqn. (1) is linearized: MATH

According to Crow [9], the likelihood function for the grouped data case, (where n1, n2, n3, ..., nk  failures are observed within each group and k is the number of groups), is: MATHAnd the MLE of λ based on this relationship is: MATH (32)where n is the total number of failures from all the groups.
And the estimate of β is the value $\widehat{\beta }$ that satisfies: MATH (33)

Crow-AMSAA Example 4

Consider the grouped failure times data given in Table 5.2. Solve for the Crow-AMSAA parameters using MLE.

Table 5.2 - Grouped failure times data

Run
Number

Cumulative
Failures

End
Time (hr)

ln(Ti)

ln(Ti)2

ln(θi)

ln(Ti) • ln(θi)

1

2

200

5.298

28.072

0.693

3.673

2

3

400

5.991

35.898

1.099

6.582

3

4

600

6.397

40.921

1.386

8.868

4

11

3000

8.006

64.102

2.398

19.198

 

 

Sum =

25.693

168.992

5.576

38.321

Solution to Crow-AMSAA Example 4

To obtain the estimator of β, Eqn. (33) must be solved numerically for β. Using RGA, the value of $\widehat{\beta }$ is 0.6315. Now plugging this value into Eqn. (32), the estimator of λ is: MATHTherefore, the intensity function becomes: MATH