The Gamma Distribution

The gamma distribution is a flexible life distribution model that may offer a good fit to some sets of failure data. It is not, however, widely used as a life distribution model for common failure mechanisms. The gamma distribution does arise naturally as the time-to-first-fail distribution for a system with standby exponentially distributed backups, and is also a good fit for the sum of independent exponential random variables. The gamma distribution is sometimes called the Erlang distribution, which is used frequently in queuing theory applications. [32]

This section includes the following subsections:

Gamma Probability Density Function

The pdf of the gamma distribution is given by:

where:

(10)

and:

eμ = scale parameter
k
= shape parameter


where 0 < t < , - < μ < and k > 0.

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Gamma Statistical Properties

The Gamma Reliability Function

The reliability for a mission of time T for the gamma distribution is:

The Gamma Mean, Median and Mode

The gamma mean or MTTF is:

The mode exists if k > 1 and is given by:

The median is:

The Gamma Standard Deviation

The standard deviation for the gamma distribution is:

The Gamma Reliable Life

The gamma reliable life is:

The Gamma Failure Rate Function

The instantaneous gamma failure rate is given by:

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Characteristics of the Gamma Distribution

Some of the specific characteristics of the gamma distribution are the following:

For k > 1:

As

For k = 1:

For 0 < k < 1:

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Confidence Bounds for the Gamma Distribution

The only method available in Weibull++ for confidence bounds for the gamma distribution is the Fisher matrix, which is described next. The complete derivations were presented in detail (for a general function) in in the Confidence Bounds chapter.

Bounds on the Parameters

The lower and upper bounds on the mean, , are estimated from:

Since the standard deviation, , must be positive, ln() is treated as normally distributed and the bounds are estimated from:

where Kα is defined by:

If δ is the confidence level, then for the two-sided bounds and α = 1 - δ for the one-sided bounds.

The variances and covariances of and are estimated from the Fisher matrix, as follows:

Λ is the log-likelihood function of the gamma distribution, described in the Statistical Background chapter and Appendix C.

Bounds on Reliability

The reliability of the gamma distribution is:

where:

The upper and lower bounds on reliability are:

(11)
(12)

where:

(13)

Bounds on Time

The bounds around time for a given gamma percentile (unreliability) are estimated by first solving the reliability equation with respect to time, as follows:

where:


or:

The upper and lower bounds are then found by:

A Gamma Distribution Example

Twenty four units were reliability tested and the following life test data were obtained:

Fitting the gamma distribution to this data, using maximum likelihood as the analysis method, gives the following parameters:

Using rank regression on X, the estimated parameters are:

Using rank regression on Y, the estimated parameters are:

See Also:
Other Distributions


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