T-NT Lognormal

The pdf for the temperature non-thermal relationship and the lognormal distribution is given next.

The pdf of the lognormal distribution is given by:

10.6.8.gif

where:

The median of the lognormal distribution is given by:

10.6.9.gif(9)

The T-NT lognormal model pdf can be obtained first by setting Tu.gif = L(V) in Eqn. ( 1). Therefore:

10.6.1.gif

or:

10.6.2.gif

Thus:

10.6.10.gif(10)

Substituting Eqn. (10) into Eqn. (8) yields the T-NT lognormal model pdf or:

10.6.3.gif

T-NT Lognormal Statistical Properties Summary

The Mean

10.611.11.gif(11)

The Standard Deviation

10.612.12.gif(12)

The Mode

T-NT Lognormal Reliability

For the T-NT lognormal model, the reliability for a mission of time T, starting at age 0, for the T-NT lognormal model is determined by:

10.614.1.gif

or:

10.614.2.gif

Reliable Life

For the T-NT lognormal model, the reliable life, or the mission duration for a desired reliability goal, tR is estimated by first solving the reliability equation with respect to time, as follows:

10.615.1.gif

where:

10.615.2.gif

and:

10.615.3.gif

Since Tdash2.gif = ln(T) the reliable life, tR, is given by:

10.615.4.gif

Lognormal Failure Rate

The T-NT lognormal failure rate is given by:

10.616.1.gif

Parameter Estimation

Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method

The complete T-NT lognormal log-likelihood function is:

10.621.1.gif

where:

chapter10_179.gif

chapter10_180.gif

chapter10_181.gif

chapter10_182.gif

and:

The solution (parameter estimates) will be found by solving otdash2.gif, bhat.gif, chat.gif, nhat.gif so that votline.gif = 0, vb2.gif = 0, vc.gif = 0 and vn2.gif = 0.

Example

Twelve electronic devices were put into a continuous accelerated test and the following data were collected.

10.7ex.gif

Using ALTA and the T-NT lognormal model, the following parameters were obtained:

std.gif = 0.1825579885,
bhat.gif = 3729.6503028119,
chat.gif = 0.0352919977,
nhat.gif = 0.7767966480.

A probability plot for the use stress levels of 323K and 2V is shown next.

F0S09V0R.gif

An acceleration factor plot, in which one of the stresses must be kept constant, can also be obtained. For example, in the following plot, the acceleration factor is plotted versus temperature given a constant voltage of 2V.

F0S09V0S.gif

See Also:
Temperature-NonThermal Relationship


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