Eyring-Lognormal

The pdf for the Eyring relationship and the lognormal distribution is given next.

The pdf of the lognormal distribution is given by:

7.6.10.gif(10)

where:

The Eyring-lognormal model pdf can be obtained first by setting Tu.gif = L(V) in Eqn. ( 1).Therefore:

7.6.2.gif

or:

7.6.0.gif

Thus:

7.6.11.gif(11)

Substituting Eqn. (11) into Eqn. (10) yields the Eyring-lognormal model pdf or:

7.6.3.gif

Eyring-Lognormal Statistical Properties Summary

The Mean

7.611.12.gif(12)

The Median

7.612.13.gif(13)

The Standard Deviation

7.613.14.gif(14)

The Mode

Eyring-Lognormal Reliability Function

The reliability for a mission of time T, starting at age 0, for the Eyring-lognormal model is determined by:

7.615.1.gif

or:

7.615.2.gif

There is no closed form solution for the lognormal reliability function. Solutions can be obtained via the use of standard normal tables. Since the application automatically solves for the reliability we will not discuss manual solution methods.

Reliable Life

For the Eyring-lognormal model, the reliable life or the mission duration for a desired reliability goal, tR is estimated by first solving the reliability equation with respect to time, as follows:

7.616.1.gif

where:

7.616.2.gif

and:

7.616.3.gif

Since Tdash2.gif = ln (T) the reliable life, tR, is given by:

7.616.4.gif

Eyring-Lognormal Failure Rate

The Eyring-lognormal failure rate is given by:

7.617.1.gif

Parameter Estimation

Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method

The complete Eyring-lognormal log-likelihood function is composed of two summation portions:

chapter7_181.gif

where:

chapter7_182.gif

chapter7_183.gif

and:

The solution (parameter estimates) will be found by solving for otdash2.gif, ahat.gif, bhat.gif so that votline.gif = 0, va.gif = 0 and vb2.gif = 0:

chapter7_212.gif

and:

chapter7_213.gif

chapter7_214.gif

See Also:
Eyring Relationship


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