Cumulative Damage Exponential Relationship

This section presents a generalized formulation of the cumulative damage model where stress can be any function of time and the life-stress relationship is based on the exponential relationship. Given a time-varying stress x(t) and assuming the exponential relationship, the life-stress relationship is given by:

MATH

In ALTA PRO, the above relationship is actually presented in a format consistent with the general log-linear (GLL) relationship for the exponential relationship:

MATH

Therefore, instead of displaying a and n as the calculated parameters, the following reparameterization is used:

MATH

See the following sections:

Cumulative Damage Exponential-Exponential

Given a time-varying stress x(t) and assuming the exponential relationship, the mean life is given by:

MATH

The reliability function of the unit under a single stress is given by:

MATH

where:

MATH

Therefore, the pdf is:

MATH

Parameter estimation can be accomplished via maximum likelihood estimation methods, and confidence intervals can be approximated using the Fisher matrix approach. Once the parameters are determined, all other characteristics of interest can be obtained utilizing the statistical properties definitions (e.g. mean life, failure rate, etc.) presented in previous chapters. The log-likelihood equation is as follows:

MATH

where:

MATH

and:  

Cumulative Damage Exponential-Weibull

Given a time-varying stress x(t) and assuming the exponential relationship, the characteristic life is given by:

MATH

The reliability function of the unit under a single stress is given by:

MATH

where:

MATH

Therefore, the pdf is:

MATH

Parameter estimation can be accomplished via maximum likelihood estimation methods, and confidence intervals can be approximated using the Fisher matrix approach. Once the parameters are determined, all other characteristics of interest can be obtained utilizing the statistical properties definitions (e.g. mean life, failure rate, etc.) presented in previous chapters. The log-likelihood equation is as follows:

MATH

where:

MATH

and:  

Cumulative Damage Exponential-Lognormal

Given a time-varying stress x(t) and assuming the exponential relationship, the log-mean life is:

MATH

The reliability function of the unit under a single stress is given by:

MATH

where:

MATH

and:

MATH

Therefore, the pdf is:

MATH

Parameter estimation can be accomplished via maximum likelihood estimation methods, and confidence intervals can be approximated using the Fisher matrix approach. Once the parameters are determined, all other characteristics of interest can be obtained utilizing the statistical properties definitions (e.g. mean life, failure rate, etc.) presented in previous chapters. The log-likelihood equation is as follows:

 MATH

where:

MATH

and:  

Example

Using the simple step-stress data given in the Time-Varying Stress Model Formulation section, one would define x(t) as,

12.23.1.gif

and the times-to-failure t as 280, 310, 330, 352, 360, 366, 371, 374, 378, 381, 385.

Assuming a power relation as the underlying life-stress relation and the Weibull distribution as the underlying life distribution, one can then formulate the log-likelihood function for the above data set as,

12.23.2.gif

where:

The parameter estimates for betahat.gif, a.gif and nhat.gif can be obtained by simultaneously solving FracVBeta.gif = 0, FracVa.gif = 0 and FracVn.gif = 0. Utilizing ALTA 7 PRO, the parameter estimates for this data set are:

betahat.gif = 2.68
a.gif = 11.72
nhat.gif = 3.99

Once the parameters are obtained, one can now determine the reliability for these units at any time t and stress x(t) from:

12.23.3.gif

or at a fixed stress level x(t) = 2V and t = 300,

12.23.4.gif

The mean time to failure (MTTF) at any stress x(t) can be determined by:

12.23.5.gif

or at a fixed stress level x(t) = 2V,

12.23.6.gif

Any other metric of interest (e.g. failure rate, conditional reliability etc.) can also be determined using the basic definitions given in Appendix A and through ALTA 7 PRO.

See Also:
Time-Varying Stresses: The Cumulative Damage Model

Cumulative Damage Power Relationship

Cumulative Damage Arrhenius Relationship

Cumulative Damage General Log-Linear Relationship

Time-Varying Stress Model Confidence Intervals

 


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